Friday, 2 March 2018

6 Irish Fancies for the 2018 Cheltenham Festival



Smart punters know that fancied Irish raiders sent across from the Emerald Isle to the Cheltenham Festival command respect.
Bookmakers have cottoned on too and made a number of horses trained in Ireland ante-post favourites for various events among the 28-race four-day National Hunt racing spectacular.
This trend is especially prominent in novice contests, according to the latest Cheltenham Festival betting. Are the lofty reputations of these Irish horses deserved, though?
We're taking a look at six fancies being ferried across to Cheltenham and whether they offer value based on what they’ve achieved and key race trends.

Getabird

Closutton trainer Willie Mullins has saddled three of the last five winners of the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle, which opens the Cheltenham Festival, so Getabird heads the betting for this year’s renewal of the 2m curtain-raiser.
Owned by Rich and Susannah Ricci, the six-year-old is an Irish point and dual bumper winner who landed his hurdles bow over 2m 4f on heavy ground at Punchestown last December. Getabird followed up by dropping back in trip for a nine-length success over Mengli Khan in the Grade 2 Moscow Flyer at that track in January.
Only one outright starting price favourite has landed the Supreme spoils in the last decade, although that was fellow Mullins inmate Douvan. This poor recent record for market principals, coupled with wins for Getabird over further, may give some punters pause, though the range of free bets available on the Oddschecker website for the race offer an option for cautious gamblers.

Footpad

Let's move on from 2m novice hurdlers to chasers and red-hot Arkle Challenge Trophy fancy Footpad. Although a well-beaten fourth in last year’s Champion Hurdle, this Simon Munir and Isaac Souede owned six-year-old has really come into his own over fences.
Footpad is 3-3 since being sent chasing and finally turned the tables on old hurdling rival Petit Mouchoir in the Irish Arkle at Leopardstown’s inaugural Dublin Racing Festival in February. A five-length success there was his second consecutive Grade 1 triumph, so he goes to Cheltenham seeking a hat-trick.
Handler Mullins speaks very highly of Foodpad and it’s easy to see why after he’s looked a natural since taking to the chasing sphere. Unlike the Supreme, favourites have fared far better in the Arkle in recent times, with five going in during the last six renewals.

Apple’s Jade



There is arguably no tougher mare currently in training than Apple’s Jade. Mullins’ loss during a fallout with owners Gigginstown House Stud over fees was certainly Gordon Elliott’s gain.
Such is the confidence in Apple’s Jade that connections have been bold enough to race her against the geldings in all three of her starts this season. She has socked it to them when stepping out of competing against her own sex too.
A gutsy winner of last year’s David Nicholson OLBG Mares’ Hurdle, Apple’s Jade beat two fellow Cheltenham Festival winners in the ill-fated Nichols Canyon and Supasundae in Grade 1 races at Fairyhouse and Leopardstown respectively. Given what that latter rival has done since, the form is very strong and other mares – like the bookies – are running scared she will defend her Cheltenham crown.

Samcro

For many, Samcro is the Irish banker of the Festival. Elliott and Gigginstown team up again with this unbeaten point, triple bumper and hurdle winner whose intended target is the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle over 2m 5f.
Although dropped back in trip to 2m for a Grade 1 triumph in the Deloitte Novice Hurdle last time out, Samcro looks scarily good and you cannot help but be impressed by what he’s done so far. Like stablemate Apple’s Jade, though, he is odds-on in the ante-post betting.

Presenting Percy

Breaking up the Mullins and Elliott duopoly of Cheltenham Festival novice fancies is Presenting Percy. Trained by Patrick Kelly, the seven-year-old has won two of his four starts since switching to fences and was also pitched back over hurdles to plunder the Galmoy Hurdle at Gowran Park in January.
Presenting Percy is a Cheltenham Festival winner just like Apple’s Jade after landing the 3m Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Final in 2017. Although a leading contender for RSA Chase due to his exploits over the bigger obstacles, he did get turned over by Our Duke went sent off at evens last time out and beaten favourites on their previous run have a poor Festival record.

Laurina

And, finally, Mullins’ novice mare Laurina is all the rage for the Dawn Run – the newest race introduced at Cheltenham in 2015. Brought over from France and sent to Closutton in November, the five-year-old is looking to follow in the footsteps of stablemates Limini and Let’s Dance.
With impressive Grade 3 winning form already under her belt, Laurina certainly has claims to be among the market principals for the novice mares’ event at the Festival. If you’re looking to take this Irish fancy on, though, all her career starts have come on very soft or heavy ground. Backers are thus gambling that Laurina will act on the better ground.